Friday, December 30, 2011

the present rate of human population growth is not sustainable


This is not a prophecy or even a prediction;
...it is simple "foresight"!

....based upon the current rate of human population growth (apart from any other cataclysmic natural events that are outside our control)
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In the brief time (one single generation) that I've been alive on this planet,
the number of people has gone from about 3 billion to the present 7 billion!
It reached 6 billion in 1999.
Projecting this rate of increase into the future, it is clear that the load on the planet will be "unsustainable".
The disparity we are presently seeing in  access to resources (as expressed by the "we the people" movement) will  be exacerbated as the human population places increasing demand on diminishing resources such as  space, food , water ,and energy.
Resource scarcity will become more pronounced and more widespread.
The complex systems of daily life that we take for granted will destabilize and collapse!
This is not some arcane/abstract doomsday prophecy.
It is a mathematical certainty!

Image Detail
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This is very true!
Debt/income ratios can not increase indefinitely!
Eventually a limit is reached!
I believe we have reached that limit!
Prepare for a prolonged contraction of the global economy!
I think this graph is much more revealing!
Sometimes numbers can seem pretty abstract. How meaningful is a "trillion"?
But whenever you see a graph going "exponential" like this ,you know it's not a sustainable situation!
You can see what happened   just before the crash in 1933!!
The debt to GDP ratio in the USA is going exponential again!



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----- Forwarded Message -----
From: Len Bidw
Sent: Friday, October 21, 2011 7:47:13 AM
Subject: Europe's entire banking system on verge of default
FACT #1: Europe’s entire banking system is leveraged at 25 to 1.
These are literally borderline-Lehman levels of leverage (Lehman was 30 to 1).
FACT #2: European Financial Corporations are collectively sitting on debt equal to 148% of TOTAL EU GDP.
FACT #3: European banks need to roll over between 15% and 50% of their total debt by the end of 2012.
FACT #4: In order to meet current unfunded liabilities (pensions, healthcare, etc) without defaulting or cutting benefits, the average EU nation would need to have OVER 400% of its current GDP sitting in a bank account collecting interest.
Folks, the EFSF, the bailouts, China coming to the rescue… all of that stuff is 100% pointless in the grand scheme of things. Europe’s ENTIRE banking system (with few exceptions) is insolvent. Numerous entire European COUNTRIES are insolvent. Even the more “rock solid” countries such as Germany (who is supposed to save Europe apparently) have REAL Debt to GDP ratios of over 200% and STILL HAVEN’T RECAPITALIZED THEIR BANKS.

18 comments:

  1. A lost decade of debt repayment:

    The growth period was driven by
    debt-fueled consumption/spending.
    This must inevitably be followed
    by an austerity period of debt repayment!

    The US national debt is 15 trillion dollars (and counting!)
    ...and the sum of all personal/individual debt is 42 trillion.

    It will take more than one generation to crawl out of that hole!

    ReplyDelete
  2. If you want to know what's happening in the world watch the documentary "Thrive" .

    http://www.thrivemovement.com/home

    ReplyDelete
  3. Check out Alex Jones: Endgame.com

    http://www.infowars.com/

    ReplyDelete
  4. We are not on a sustainable trajectory!


    Next Great Depression

    MIT researchers predict 'global economic collapse' by 2030

    By Eric Pfeiffer | The Sideshow - Wed, Apr 4, 2012

    A new study from researchers at MIT and produced for an international think tank, says that the world could suffer from "global economic collapse" and "precipitous population decline" if people continue to consume the world's resources at the current pace.Smithsonian Magazine writes that Australian physicist Graham Turner says "the world is on track for disaster" and that current evidence coincides with a famous, and in some quarters, infamous, academic report from 1972 entitled, "The Limits to Growth."

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. http://www.abc.net.au/science/slab/rome/

      Club of Rome 1972 stated that our current path is unsustainable! That was 42 years ago!!

      Delete
    2. http://www.abc.net.au/science/slab/rome/

      as First World countries have got richer, so they have got meaner, with the result that foreign aid is now the lowest since records began three decades ago.Fifth, "Limits to Growth" did not just call for a reduced level of consumption of resources. The Club has argued that humankind needs to re-evaluate its exploitative attitude towards humans and the earth itself. The failure to give more foreign aid is indicative of the increased selfishness of rich countries. Meanwhile, the world's richest 20 per cent of the population consume 86 per cent of its goods and services, over half its energy and nearly half its meat and fish. There is little indication that most of the world's richest people are willing to heed the warning from "Limits to Growth", they are too busy making the most of today.Therefore, the reluctance to give foreign aid and help the Third World is in itself a reflection of the prevailing economic mindset: making a virtue out of selfishness. There is no doubt that the market system is the best way to create wealth (by encouraging everyone to look out for their own best interests). But the market system was not designed to share wealth or protect the environment -as even The Economist magazine is having to admit. So, as it stands, the market system enriches the wealthy, impoverishes the poor, and endangers the planet.

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  5. The compulsive drive for ever- greater growth is self-destructive!
    The Chinese symbol for "crisis" is made of two parts:
    danger and opportunity.
    Danger instills the need to change direction!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. crisis

       "... We will not solve the problems of the world from the same level of thinking we were at when we created them.More than anything else, this new century demands new thinking ..."
      --Albert Einstein

      Delete
  6. By Seth Borenstein, The Associated PressWASHINGTON -

    http://ca.news.yahoo.com/international-panels-leaked-report-predicts-more-illness-war-202338182.html?.tsrc=yahoo">http://ca.news.yahoo.com/international-panels-leaked-report-predicts-more-illness-war-202338182.html?.tsrc=yahoo

    Starvation, poverty, flooding, heat waves, droughts, war and disease already lead to human tragedies. They're likely to worsen as the world warms from man-made climate change, a leaked draft of an international scientific report forecasts.

    ReplyDelete
  7. There is omly one solution: depopulation!

    ReplyDelete
  8. the human population of the earth is now 7.3 billion:

    http://m.worldometers.info/world-population/

    ReplyDelete

  9. Population timebomb

    by The Canadian Press | Story: 145042 - Jul 29, 2015

    The world's population is expected to reach 8.5 billion by 2030 and 9.7 billion in 2050, a new United Nations report says. And there should be 11.2 billion people on Earth by the end of this century.Meanwhile, India's population is set to pass China's in size around 2022, according to the report released Wednesday.The population estimates play a huge role as the international community tries to figure out how to slow the danger of global warming, while pursuing the ambitious goals of eliminating both poverty and hunger.The current world population is 7.3 billion. China and India each have more than one billion people."While the global projections should not be cause for alarm, we must recognize that the concentration of population growth in the poorest countries presents a distinct set of challenges, making it more difficult to eradicate poverty and inequality, to combat hunger and malnutrition, and to expand educational enrolment and health systems," John Wilmoth, director of the population division of the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, said in an email.Nine countries are expected to make up half of the world's population growth between now and 2050: India, Nigeria, Pakistan, Congo, Ethiopia, Tanzania, the U.S., Indonesia and Ghana.The report says that by 2050 or so, Nigeria will pass the U.S. to have the world's third-largest population, behind India and China. Africa has the world's highest rate of population growth.Global aging is also noted. The report says the number of people age 60 and above should more than double by 2050. The report says Europe will lead the way, with more than 34 per cent of people there expected to be over 60 years old by 2050.The UN report updates previous population estimates with new data from national censuses in 2010 as well as recent health and demographic surveys.

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  10. human population growth is not sustainable

    China attempts to spur economic growth by stimulating domestic consumption.

    China doubles its birthrate by rescinding its "one-child-per-couple" policy. Now each couple is encouraged to have two children!

    ...and the planet groans under the burden of having to sustain so many people.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Hi there friends, its great paragraph about educationand completely defined, keep
    it up all the time.

    ReplyDelete
  12. 8 billion burden on earth's resources exceeds the carryinng cappacity of the planet!

    The global human population is passing 8 billion this month, with a billion people being added about every twelve years onto a planet that already lacks enough homes,jobs,food, water, and other necessities of survival. More people means more consumption and greater demand on the planets llimited resources. .(More consumption also means more waste ,more pollution, and more environmental degradation!). According to the UN the number facing acute food insecurity is almost 350 million!

    Human population must stop growing!

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  13. How many people can live on pl
    an et earth?
    https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x7s8ybc

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  14. Unsustainable population growth could result in civilization collapse due to resource depletion,waste accumulation,environmental degradation,and climate warming
    Living things consume resouces and excrete waste.A civilization uses the resourves of its planet to increase, but in so doing it degrades its environment.Unless population growth slows and remains within the carrying capacity of the planet, there will be a die-off (a self-inflicted collapse of human civilization)
    If we push the planet beyond a certain point it will not be able to recover!
    In the history of the planet many species have undergone extinction. A recent UN. report ststes that currently 1 out of 5 species are at risk of extinction.(https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/16/world/un-biodiversity-report-intl-hnk-scli-scn/index.html
    . All civilizations have a finite lifespan!..Dealing with our own current existential issues around planetary sustainability brings to awareness that ours may be more finite than we think!

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  15. https://www.cbc.ca/radio/ideas/overpopulation-climate-crisis-energy-resources-1.6853542

    ReplyDelete