Saturday, June 12, 2010

Prepare for a massive contraction of the world's economies


 Most Americans are completely obsessed with the silliest of things.
 They wonder how Lindsay Lohan is going to fare in jail and they agonize over who LeBron James is going to play basketball for.
 But when it comes to the things that really matter, most Americans are completely clueless.
For example, while most Americans would agree that we are experiencing difficult economic times right now, most of them would also argue that our economic system is in fundamentally good shape and that things will get back to “normal” at some point. Those of us who are trying to warn America of the impending economic nightmare are dismissed as “doom and gloomers” and “conspiracy theorists”. But of course, as with so many things, the passage of time will tell who was right and who was wrong. Below there is a chart that I want all of you to burn into your memory. It is a chart of total U.S. debt as a percentage of GDP from 1870 until 2009. This chart clearly and succinctly communicates the horror of the debt bubble that we are currently dealing with.




                                            (click on image to enlarge)

 When this debt bubble pops, it is going to make the Great Depression look like a Sunday picnic. As you can see from this chart , the total of all debt (government, business and consumer) is now somewhere in the neighborhood of 360 percent of GDP. Never before has the United States faced a debt bubble of this magnitude…. Most of us were not alive during the Great Depression, but those who were remember how incredibly painful it was for America to deleverage and bring the economic system back into some type of balance. So if our current debt bubble is far worse, what kind of economic horror is ahead for us? But the truth is that we are facing some circumstances that even the folks back during the Great Depression did not have to deal with…. 1 – Back in the 1930s, tens of millions of Americans lived on farms or knew how to grow their own food. Today the vast majority of Americans are totally dependent on the system for even their most basic needs. 2 – A vast horde of Baby Boomers is expecting to retire, and the “Social Security trust fund” has nothing but 2.5 trillion dollars of government IOUs in it. According to an official U.S. government report, rapidly growing interest costs on the U.S. national debt together with spending on major entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare will absorb approximately 92 cents of every dollar of federal revenue by the year 2019. This is a financial tsunami the likes of which Americans back in the 1930s could never have even dreamed of. 3 – American workers never had to compete for jobs with workers on the other side of the world back in the 1930s. But today, millions upon millions of our jobs have been “outsourced” to China, India and a vast array of third world nations where desperate workers are more than happy to slave away for big global corporations for less than a dollar an hour. How in the world are American workers supposed to compete with that? 4 – Back in the 1930s, there was nothing like the gigantic derivatives bubble that hangs over us today. The total value of all derivatives worldwide is estimated to be somewhere between 600 trillion and 1.5 quadrillion dollars. The danger that we face from derivatives is so great that Warren Buffet has called them “financial weapons of mass destruction”. When this bubble pops there won’t be enough money in the entire world to fix it. 5 – During the Great Depression, the United States economy was relatively self-contained. But today we truly do live in a global economy. Unfortunately that means that a severe economic crisis in one part of the world is going to affect us as well. Right now, the United States is far from alone in dealing with a massive debt crisis. Greece, Spain, Italy, Hungary, Portugal and a number of other European nations are in real danger of actually defaulting on their debts. Japan (the third biggest economy in the world) is on the verge of complete and total economic collapse. So what happens to the U.S. economy when the dominoes start to fall? The truth is that by almost any measure, we are in worse economic condition than we were right before the beginning of the Great Depression. We have been living way beyond our means and the debts we have been piling up are clearly not anywhere close to sustainable. Did you think that we could just continue to run deficits equal to 10 percent of GDP forever? Of course not. The U.S. economy is being driven off a cliff, but America’s ”ruling class” has insisted all along that they know better than we do. But the truth is that in the final analysis it is not us that they care about. What they do actually care about is getting more money and more power for themselves and for other members of the ruling class. Today, 10,000 people make 30% of the total income in the United States each year. That leaves 70% of the pie for the remaining 99.99% of us to divide up. The reality is that however you want to slice it, the U.S. economic system is broken. However, considering the fact that America’s ruling class has a stranglehold on both major political parties, we are not likely to see any fundamental changes any time soon.
That is very unfortunate, because time is running out on the U.S. economy.

The absence of effective regulation of the financial system essentially places it "above the law" (no accountability)
This is confirmed by the fact that those who devastated the global economy have faced no punishment!
...and no "regulation legislation" has been passed to prevent the same from happening again.
The fox is still in charge of the chickens!

see "the decline and fall of the American Empire"

Monday, June 7, 2010

Global Catastrophe


The Scream
--Artist Edvard Munch



Subject: the orange-brown tide arriveth
To: larry@sympatico.ca
Date: Saturday, June 5, 2010, 1:12 AM

Horrible,Horrific and Horrendous images:

Warning: these heartbreaking images are obscene, and painful to view!

http://www.boston.com/bigpicture/2010/06/caught_in_the_oil.html

The real cost of America's addiction to oil!


Fouled: A Brown Pelican on the beach at East Grand Terre Island along the Louisiana coast on Thursday, June 3, 2010. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)


...and this is just the beginning--the tip of the iceberg!!
The effect on lower levels of marine life (whose habitat has been poisoned, and upon wch all others are dependent) is still invisible!!

The secondary and tertiary effects of this environmental and economic disaster will last for decades!

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--- On Sat, 5/15/10, bill dality wrote:

From: bill dality
Subject: the black tide cometh
To: larry.@sympatico.ca
Date: Saturday, May 15, 2010, 12:36 AM



http://ac360.blogs.cnn.com/2010/05/14/must-see-ac360%C2%B0-video-oil-spill-worse-than-expected/

Independent scientists now estimate the leak is gushing oil into the ocean at the rate of 70,000 barrels per day!
BP appears to have intentionally lowballed their estimate (of 5000 barrels/day) in an attempt to minimize/downplay the public relations and financial consequences to them.
BP chief executive Tony Hayward told Britain's Guardian newspaper that the spill is "tiny" by comparison with the amount of water in the Gulf of Mexico:
"The Gulf of Mexico is a very big ocean. The amount of volume of oil and dispersant we are putting into it is tiny in relation to the total water volume," Hayward said.
"The techniques we're going to try over the next 24 hours, we need to remember, are about trying to contain this leak. They won't stop it."

A large component of the leak is natural gas wch is 90% methane.
Methane is a much more potent greenhouse gas than CO2. Compared with carbon dioxide, it has a high global warming potential of 72 (calculated over a period of 20 years) or 25 (for a time period of 100 yearsMethane in the atmosphere is eventually oxidized, producing carbon dioxide and water
Watch the video of Dr. Gregory Ryskin, Professor of Chemical Engineering at Northwestern University.
In the video, Dr. Ryskin explains how a prehistoric methane gas explosion could explain the Permian-Triassic Extinction Event, a mysterious period in Earth history where 95% of all species went extinct.Given that the amount of methane gas that is leaking from the BP spill site is at least equal to the amount of oil, it would lead one to believe that there is a huge underground pocket of methane gas buried there.

They are spraying tons of chemical "dispersants" onto the oil slicks in order to sink the oil "out of sight and out of mind".
These chemicals are more toxic than the oil! The worst case scenario is that the oil and gas will continue to leak until the entire reservoir (there are no estimates as to the total size of the reservoir) is emptied.
Currents will carry the surface oil out of the gulf , up the eastern coastline ,and into the Atlantic ocean.


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More Foul Play:

Dramatic pictures and video of ducks struggling in a toxic waste pond were released Tuesday at Syncrude's trial on environmental charges in the deaths of 1,606 ducks in a tailings pond in northern Alberta

 http://www.cbc.ca/canada/edmonton/story/2010/03/02/edmonton-syncrude-trial-pictures-video-ducks-tailings-pond.html#ixzz13bnwQrWG



Monitoring of Canada oil sands impact flawed:

Tue Dec 21, 10:35 am ET

OTTAWA (Reuters) –

Canada must do a much better job of monitoring whether oil sands projects are polluting waterways in the Western province of Alberta since the current system of oversight has major shortcomings, an independent scientific panel said on Tuesday.
The panel was set up by the federal government in late September after an academic report concluded oil sands plants were sending toxins, including mercury, arsenic and lead, into the watershed.
"There are significant shortcomings in the monitoring system as a whole," the report concluded, saying the current system is far too fragmented

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LSFcZ4QgrCA


5 Oct 2010 ... toxic sludge disaster in Hungary --fertile land turned into poisoned wasteland:

A massive spill of toxic (heavy metal oxides) sludge from an Aluminum plant in Hungary
The toxic red tide wch engulfed everything in it's path has reached the Danube...and soon the Black Sea.



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Komi republic oil spill/

http://www1.american.edu/ted/KOMI.HTM


In this Saturday, Sept. 10, 2011 photo head of research for Greenpeace Tony Sadownichik speaks at an oil spill near the town of  Usinsk, 1,500 km (930 miles) northeast of Moscow, Russia. Komi is one of Russia's largest and oldest oil provinces but ruptures in aging pipelines and leaks from decommissioned oil wells make oil spills in the region routine. Residents of the villages that border on oil fields complain about polluted water in their river and dirty drinking water.